VAR-Based Granger-Causality Test in the Presence of Instabilities

Abstract

In this article, we review Granger-causality tests robust to the presence of instabilities in a Vector Autoregressive framework. We also introduce the gcrobustvar command, which illustrates the procedure in Stata. In the presence of instabilities, the Granger-causality robust test is more powerful than the traditional Granger-causality test.